Lebowski

Yes, you're correct, 'a handful' of HS recruits are going to get offers from the big dogs. If you're getting offers from the big dogs then you're more than likely getting a big bag, somewhere. Keep in mind, a HS recruit getting D1 offers are rare among his peers. He is just a handful amongst many. We can figure out the percentages by looking at these 2024-2025 numbers from NFHS. The link breaks down participation numbers. It doesn't include 8-Player football but Google AI overview estimates there are around 26k participants. So adding those numbers, you're looking at roughly 1.052 million HS football players available for 14,490 total D1 scholarships. (138 D1 football schools x 105 scholarships per school) That means around 1.4% of HS football players go on to play D1. But that percentage is actually lower because every school isn't offering 105 scholarships every year. These numbers are estimates and I'm just using them to provide a bigger picture. 

So of the 14,490 pool of recruits, I'm willing to bet most if not all 4* recruits are getting compensated a big bag via NIL. (A big bag to me is 6 figures, anything 100k and above) Because again, in the grand scheme of things, there's really not that many recruits in general. And most if not all P4 3* recruits are getting compensated via NIL in some way or the other as well. (For example, a full ride scholarship and an NIL dollar value of a yearly tuition, housing, dining, and books. So depending on what school and out-of-state vs in-state cost etc. etc., something like 35K-60k would not be out of the question.)

The thing that has me way concerned is the market. It has shifted so much that it's impossible to predict what is the proper 'value' of each position/recruit. For example, maybe a DL recruit in 2025 signed with O$U for 240k. According to Coach Cig's latest comments, that value might now be 720k to 1.2mil? I believe he said it's jumped 3 to 5 times? I could be wrong. But like how does someone budget for this type of unpredictable jump?

Bottom line, today, these recruits have a life changing opportunity and I don't blame them for this type of approach. 

Man, I hope you're right here. If Sorsby is playing this season than the sport and our judicial system is truly broken. He admitted to the ULTIMATE NO NO regarding athletes betting while playing in competitive sport. It's the most sacrilegious thing to do and even some of his peers will have a hard time trusting him. Every move he makes on the field will be questioned. This is bad. Really bad. 

Let me repeat. Some of Sorsby's own teammates will have a hard time trusting him. 

I don't understand how Joey McGuire is even allowing him to play. It says more about Coach McGuire than it does anything. That locker room will have multiple players questioning the coach's own integrity. 

Any loss, 'potential point shaving' play whether that be a throw away, fumble, etc. etc. will be questioned by some of the players in the locker room. 

This is bad. Really bad.

Yep.  And even when betting on your own team, varying the amount bet on each game and the type of bet (e.g., money line or a spread to cover) all creates conflicts and sporting integrity issues.
Did Brendan try that pass to cover a spread?  He bet $100K on this game and $5K on that game… is he playing differently?  What’s more important to him, the bet outcome or the team outcome?
One of the more annoying things is when someone pretends to not understand something really basic in an argument.  Cowlishaw a case in point example here.

I know he’s an idiot but has he never heard of point shaving?

Man, I hope you're right here. If Sorsby is playing this season than the sport and our judicial system is truly broken. He admitted to the ULTIMATE NO NO regarding athletes betting while playing in competitive sport. It's the most sacrilegious thing to do and even some of his peers will have a hard time trusting him. Every move he makes on the field will be questioned. This is bad. Really bad. 

The thing is, it can be legislated against; it just hasn't been. The NCAA is an internal industry regulatory group; because of that they routinely lose in court. It will take legislation to truly produce fixes.
As Hova stated, this may be the case that spurs the creation of legislation, though the legislative proposals that I've seen about college sports don't mention gambling prohibitions.
Anyway - this is an injuction - a stay for Sorsby - not a judicial ruling that he can play. I agree with this judge that the injunction was warranted because there's a pending appeal that needs to be decided by August - he remains eligible until that appeal is heard. However, I also strongly suspect that the appeal will now be heard really quickly and that this injunction will be a moot point by the time the season starts.

Agree all day on Ponds. But, I think we enough talent back there to compensate for his loss with the development that this staff is becoming famous for. Plus I think Haines is the best in the business and will scheme what we need. Part of that is that I think our d-line is going to be even better this year. Opposing qbs aren't going to have all day to find receivers down field. Even though we lost a lot of important pieces on defense, I think the sum of what we have on the roster is going to be even better. Honestly, I worry more about the offense than the defense.

This kind of happened to a local 2025 4* recruit. 

Winter going into his senior season he committed to a MAC school. Got offers from ACC and Big 12 schools after commitment. Spring, he decommitted to the MAC and committed to a Big 12 school. During season, gets offers from SEC and B1G. Towards the end of his final season he decommitted to the Big 12 school and signed with a top B1G school.  Part of this was due to what kind of year he had and the other part of it was the size of bag he was getting. 

With IUFB, most of these recruits are already getting offers from the big dogs so I'm not sure if my example applies now. Because that's almost a typical college football recruit prior to NIL. Kid starts out as a 2*, goes to summer camps gains an offer from G5/6 schools, elevates to 3* once a 'mid to upper mid' P4 offer comes in, kid improves during the season and get offers from big dogs, elevates to 4*. 

I'd like to add that some kids just want to get the recruitment out of the way and focus on season. 

But, NIL has completely changed everything and it's foolish to not keep the door open for these life changing opportunities. And this would be my advice to my child if he were in this boat. 

To add, it looks like his splits also tells a jekyll and hyde story.  21/3 home and 8/10 away. 
Hopefully our run game and defense travels well like last year.  Not having Ponds will look a lot like the Iowa game. So hopefully there's massive improvement for our corners.  
https://www.espn.com/college-football/player/splits/_/id/4685401/josh-hoover

Sampson was dealt an all-time s****y hand from day one. Hopefully he’s willing to accept help and get things turned around. 

So we are all just living in @Lebowskis simulation?  good to know. 

If Harris is who I think he is, we should be fine. We have a lot of talent and the best staff in the country to develop it.

Composite rankings is an aggregate of all ranking systems.  It's probably the best point of reference for looking at a ranking. However, it might be completely off when it's all said and done.  For example, Ponds was a 3* out of HS but he probably was more of a high 4* close to 5* in reality. Honestly, rankings should probably be ignored in the grand scheme of things.  But they are fun to have for us fans and I personally enjoy them.  

The Dude abides. 

The Dude abides. 

To add, it looks like his splits also tells a jekyll and hyde story.  21/3 home and 8/10 away. 
Hopefully our run game and defense travels well like last year.  Not having Ponds will look a lot like the Iowa game. So hopefully there's massive improvement for our corners.  
https://www.espn.com/college-football/player/splits/_/id/4685401/josh-hoover

No lie when CFB25 came out I immediately started a dynasty with IU with the intent of a 10 year rebuild and maybe winning a championship sometime past year 5. I ended up winning in year 2 and at the time it seemed so unrealistic to take IUFB to that level so quickly. I got bored and didn't really play the game much after that. 
Turns out it was spot on foreshadowing of what was about to happen in real life. Still so unreal we are college football champions. 

Look up Hoover's percentage breakdown of receiver tipped or dropped balls that resulted in picks. We'll be find folks. 

The Dude abides. 

I watched every pick he threw last year. I'm biased so keep that in mind. 

First and foremost, his defense sucked and put him in a lot of awful situations. Second, Eric Mcalister is a dawg. 

at UNC
Pick - WR Tipped vs SMU
Pick - underthrow 50/50 goal line ball vs. ASU 
Redzone Dropped Pick - Hit WR #7 right on the number. Like bullseye accuracy.  Pick into coverage at KSU
Pick 6 into coverage Pick - WR dropped/tipped vs ISU
Pick - 'Overthrow' but so much went down for that to happen. Slowed up route run, WR was really opened and Hoover was hurried.  Pick - into coverage, hurried at BYU
Pick 6 - WR tipped, but to be fair the ball was thrown behind the receiver Pick - into coverage 3rd down hurried out of pocket
  at Houston
3 picks right into coverage (by far his worst game)
13 total picks
4 picks hit the receiver's hands prior to the pick.
1 pick could be blamed on a lazy route run

To be fair, he's got a lot to clean up. Mainly, his decision making. Some of these picks he could have just thrown away, much like Mendoza did when there wasn't anything there. He tries to force some throws if that makes sense. 
 

I watched every pick he threw last year. I'm biased so keep that in mind. 

First and foremost, his defense sucked and put him in a lot of awful situations. Second, Eric Mcalister is a dawg. 

at UNC
Pick - WR Tipped vs SMU
Pick - underthrow 50/50 goal line ball vs. ASU 
Redzone Dropped Pick - Hit WR #7 right on the number. Like bullseye accuracy.  Pick into coverage at KSU
Pick 6 into coverage Pick - WR dropped/tipped vs ISU
Pick - 'Overthrow' but so much went down for that to happen. Slowed up route run, WR was really opened and Hoover was hurried.  Pick - into coverage, hurried at BYU
Pick 6 - WR tipped, but to be fair the ball was thrown behind the receiver Pick - into coverage 3rd down hurried out of pocket
  at Houston
3 picks right into coverage (by far his worst game)
13 total picks
4 picks hit the receiver's hands prior to the pick.
1 pick could be blamed on a lazy route run

To be fair, he's got a lot to clean up. Mainly, his decision making. Some of these picks he could have just thrown away, much like Mendoza did when there wasn't anything there. He tries to force some throws if that makes sense. 
 

I watched every pick he threw last year. I'm biased so keep that in mind. 

First and foremost, his defense sucked and put him in a lot of awful situations. Second, Eric Mcalister is a dawg. 

at UNC
Pick - WR Tipped vs SMU
Pick - underthrow 50/50 goal line ball vs. ASU 
Redzone Dropped Pick - Hit WR #7 right on the number. Like bullseye accuracy.  Pick into coverage at KSU
Pick 6 into coverage Pick - WR dropped/tipped vs ISU
Pick - 'Overthrow' but so much went down for that to happen. Slowed up route run, WR was really opened and Hoover was hurried.  Pick - into coverage, hurried at BYU
Pick 6 - WR tipped, but to be fair the ball was thrown behind the receiver Pick - into coverage 3rd down hurried out of pocket
  at Houston
3 picks right into coverage (by far his worst game)
13 total picks
4 picks hit the receiver's hands prior to the pick.
1 pick could be blamed on a lazy route run

To be fair, he's got a lot to clean up. Mainly, his decision making. Some of these picks he could have just thrown away, much like Mendoza did when there wasn't anything there. He tries to force some throws if that makes sense. 
 

Craig Bohl has not had a single coaching win the last two years.
C'mon man!