RaceToTheTop

IU 34, Purdue 10

Yeah, I remember Colgate being a top ten in the first release a couple of years ago.

Yeah, but just because his shots are so bad they end up as alley oops.

*cough* Coleman Hawkins *cough* Reported $2 million in NIL. He's averaged 7.8 points, 7 rebounds, and 35 assists. He's shooting 32% and is just 5 of 22 from three.

I am hoping that the CFP isn’t putting SMU ahead of IU….that wouldn’t sit right. Just my opinion, I think IU will be sitting at the 10 spot in this week’s CFP.

In one where there is potential chaos for the last position. They aren’t getting in over IU, but if SMU or Miami lose their last regular season game and South Carolina bears Clemson, they are going to be in discussion for the last spot.

Who in the hell is Mercyhurst and when did they become D1?

You could argue that Michigan beating Ohio State helps IU's case since IU beat Michigan. In terms of Ohio State/Oregon.....if Michigan were to somehow beat Ohio State, then Penn State will be in the conference championship unless they were to lose to Maryland.

Next seven games for Rutgers: Notre Dame, Alabama, then two from the group of San Diego State, Creighton, Oregon, and Texas A&M, at Ohio State, Penn State, Seton Hall. If they don't do well in that set, they are really going to regret scheduling the game at Kennesaw.

With the latest rankings, I have to say that IU's 98% is inflated given that the voters have SMU and Tennessee both above IU and moved Clemson all the way up to 12. That doesn't necessarily mean that the CFP will have them in that order, My gut says is Indiana is going to be the 10 or 11 seed in the CFP release on Tuesday -- depending on what they do with SMU. And you will need to keep in mind that the 12 seed will likely be Boise State, so that means the 11 seed is the last at large. My fear is that Clemson beats South Carolina, Miami beats Syracuse, and SMU beats California and the committee decides that Miami and SMU (who play in the title game) would not be penalized for playing each other and they decide Clemson should leap frog Indiana because of their win over South Carolina. IMO, that wouldn't be a just decision -- the ACC is weak and the three didn't play each other in the regular season, meaning the best in conference team any of them would have played is unranked Syracuse or Louisville. But in my opinion, you can't put all three in because at best two of them would have two losses (including the title game loser) and none of their losses were to competition as good as Ohio State (and Clemson was dominated as badly as IU was against Georgia). Lines of games with CFP significance this week (from Vegas Insider): Tennessee 10.5 favorite at Vanderbilt Ohio State 10 point favorite over Michigan Clemson 4.5 favorite over South Carolina Alabama 15 point favorite over Auburn SMU 9 point favorite over California Miami 10 point favorite at Syracuse Texas 4 point favorite at Texas A&M Oregon 18.5 favorite over Washington Penn State 23.5 favorite over Maryland Georgia 20.5 favorite over Georgia Tech Indiana 28 point favorite over Purdue Ole Miss 30 point favorite over Mississippi State

Vegas Insider had it open as IU by 25.5. https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/matchups/indiana-vs-purdue/

Yeah, two different sites I saw the opening at 28 and 25.5 When you google IU/Purdue point spread, the only one that says 17.5 was from last February's basketball game (in which Purdue was a 17.5 favorite).

FWIW, on NCAA.com they were projecting that Tennessee would be ranked 8th, IU 9th, Boise State 10th, SMU 11th and Clemson would be at 14. I can not explain how in the hell SMU moved up to 9.

AP Rankings out. IU at 10 behind Tennessee and SMU. Boise State at 11, Clemson at 12. Nightmare scenario would be Clemson beating South Carolina and the committee thinking that SMU, MIami, and Clemson all deserve to be in over IU.

I can't see him getting another D1 head job. Two times not only did he fail to win enough but he also produced toxic cultures. He needs to stick to being an OC.

Yeah, found it. And it's now 51 after the Ohio State game. It's a sham ranking system. Sagarin's is better.

I found where the '106th SOS' came from. It was ESPN's FPI. And AFTER the Ohio State game, IU's SOS jumped to #51 on it. (FPI SOS stinks, FWIW -- IU did NOT have the 106th toughest schedule entering and there is no way SOS should jump 55 spots in week 13). Also, FWIW, ESPN FPI projects IU with a 97.7% chance to make the playoffs (so basically, just need to beat Purdue). Percentage chance to make CFP: Oregon 99.8% Ohio State 99.5% Penn State 98.9% Texas 97.9% Indiana 97.7% Georgia 90.6% Notre Dame 90.1% MIami 79.6% Tennessee 76.3% Boise St 68% SMU 62.5% Alabama 37.4% Iowa State 27.5% Arizona State 25.9% BYU 25.5% Tulane 24.8% Clemson 23.8% South Carolina 23.1% UNLV 15.9% Army 12.6% Colorado 6.7% Texas A&M 6.3% Ole Miss 6.2% Everyone else is below 2%

The whole 'IU has the 106th ranked schedule'......I have no idea where that is coming from. Sagarin had it at 77 entering yesterday, so that is going to get bumped up quite a bit. Entering yesterday, SMU was at 64, Miami 59, and Clemson 51. Given each team's opponents in Saturday, IU's schedule is right there with all of those and they have looked more dominant than any of them (with maybe the exception of Miami)

ESPN posted 13 'expert's' picks for what the picks will be post week 13. 11 had IU in; the only one that didn't was a ridiculous one that had three (SMU, Miami, and Clemson) in and put Penn State at #10, behind two ACC teams and two two-loss SEC teams, so I would wouldn't take that 'prediction' seriously. Of the 11 seedings, IU was: 5 at #9, 3 at #10, and 4 at #11. What is important to note is that some IU is ahead of SMU in 5 of the 12 -- some have placed SMU as the ACC representative, some have placed Miami. SMU has guaranteed their place in the ACC title game. Their opponent in the championship game will either be Miami or Clemson, whom both have dangerous regular season games left (Miami at 8-3 Syracuse, Clemson plays 8-3 South Carolina). If Miami is in the title game, they will only have one loss. Clemson will have AT LEAST two losses. The winner of the title game is in and then you would have to ask if the committee would put in the loser -- but IMO I don't see a scenario where a two loss Miami, a two loss SMU, or a three or more loss Clemson team gets in over a one loss Big Ten team or even a three loss SEC team. So even if you are looking at two ACC teams in right now, I don't see how that would stick. But even if two ACC teams get in, there would need to be either three ACC teams OR a three loss SEC team getting in for IU not to (assuming they don't lose to ACC). The worst case scenario IMO would be Clemson, MIami, and SMU all winning their regular season games and then SMU beating Miami in the ACC title game. They'd all have two losses....but then I look at Clemson and see they lost to Georgia in a worse fashion than IU lost to Ohio State plus Clemson lost to Louisville at home by two scores in a game that wasn't as close as that.

Not necessarily eliminated BUT moved to a position where if IU beats Purdue that IU will remain ahead of them.

Michigan is on the level of Oklahoma and Auburn….both of which just beat SEC contenders. Yet IU was given no credit for that win. Anyway, three mocks that I have seen after week 13: two had IU at 11 (behind both SMU and Tennessee and ahead of the Big 12 champ) and the other had IU at 9 ahead of both SMU and Tennessee. My prediction is IU will be at #10 Tuesday, behind Tennessee but ahead of SMU. Future prediction: next week, South Carolina beats Clemson and Syracuse beats Miami. This puts Clemson and SMU in the ACC title game where Clemson destroys SMU, Clemson then is in as the 12, Big 12 champ is the 11. No at large teams for either league. Texas bests A&M and other SEC teams with two or three losses win. 10 spot comes down to Alabama, South Carolina and Ole Miss — and on the strength of their win against Clemson, South Carolina moves up to 10. IU ends at 9 and plays 8 seed Tennessee.

Delivering

3ot

Gotta watch Reed taking off here

Too.much.cushion