BottomLine

Regarding #7, IU  may not have to pay the new coach's buyout. One of the donors has pledged to cover the transition costs. That may include the buyout. 

Instead of taking wild guesses and wishful thinking, maybe the best approach to figuring out the new coach is to apply a bit of logic and maybe read a bit between the lines.  So let's look at a few of the facts.
1.  The decision to let Archie go was probably made before the last two or three games.  It takes so time to put the buyout together.  Archie's job was toast before we lost to Purdue and Rutgers.
2.  While the AD made the decision the odds are good that he may have been approached by alumni before the end of the season with an offer to help.  It seems more likely that the offer of money would have been made before the school started scouting around to find money.
3.  Whoever coughed up the money probably had input into the identity of the new coach. If I was giving up that kind of money I would certainly want a say on what happened.
4.  Since there is no blue ribbon search committee, the AD knows who the coach is going to be.
5.  If the new coach is not currently coaching an announcement should come sooner rather than later and negotiations are underway and have been underway for several weeks.  There is little to be gained by protecting the identity of the party.
6.  If the new coach is currently employed he probably has a team in the NCAA tourney.  Thus, the announcement would not come while his team is still playing.  He would not want to upset team chemistry while they are still playing.  The longer it takes to make an announcement the better the possibility that this is the case.
7.  One big advantage of having donors pay for Archie's severance is that it makes it possible for the university to buy out a contract for a coach who is currently under contract.   Paying both a severance and a buyout both would probably be prohibitive.
8.  After four unsuccessful tries since Knight was fired, the AD doesn't want to get it wrong yet again.  I'm not expecting another mid-major coach.  The AD is talking to someone with a proven winning track record.
 
I'm leaning toward someone that is in the Big Dance this year.  I won't believe anything that any coach says while their team is still competing.
Anyone that has picked up on any other clues please chime in.  I'm all ears.

Instead of taking wild guesses and wishful thinking, maybe the best approach to figuring out the new coach is to apply a bit of logic and maybe read a bit between the lines.  So let's look at a few of the facts.
1.  The decision to let Archie go was probably made before the last two or three games.  It takes so time to put the buyout together.  Archie's job was toast before we lost to Purdue and Rutgers.
2.  While the AD made the decision the odds are good that he may have been approached by alumni before the end of the season with an offer to help.  It seems more likely that the offer of money would have been made before the school started scouting around to find money.
3.  Whoever coughed up the money probably had input into the identity of the new coach. If I was giving up that kind of money I would certainly want a say on what happened.
4.  Since there is no blue ribbon search committee, the AD knows who the coach is going to be.
5.  If the new coach is not currently coaching an announcement should come sooner rather than later and negotiations are underway and have been underway for several weeks.  There is little to be gained by protecting the identity of the party.
6.  If the new coach is currently employed he probably has a team in the NCAA tourney.  Thus, the announcement would not come while his team is still playing.  He would not want to upset team chemistry while they are still playing.  The longer it takes to make an announcement the better the possibility that this is the case.
7.  One big advantage of having donors pay for Archie's severance is that it makes it possible for the university to buy out a contract for a coach who is currently under contract.   Paying both a severance and a buyout both would probably be prohibitive.
8.  After four unsuccessful tries since Knight was fired, the AD doesn't want to get it wrong yet again.  I'm not expecting another mid-major coach.  The AD is talking to someone with a proven winning track record.
 
I'm leaning toward someone that is in the Big Dance this year.  I won't believe anything that any coach says while their team is still competing.
Anyone that has picked up on any other clues please chime in.  I'm all ears.

Instead of taking wild guesses and wishful thinking, maybe the best approach to figuring out the new coach is to apply a bit of logic and maybe read a bit between the lines.  So let's look at a few of the facts.
1.  The decision to let Archie go was probably made before the last two or three games.  It takes so time to put the buyout together.  Archie's job was toast before we lost to Purdue and Rutgers.
2.  While the AD made the decision the odds are good that he may have been approached by alumni before the end of the season with an offer to help.  It seems more likely that the offer of money would have been made before the school started scouting around to find money.
3.  Whoever coughed up the money probably had input into the identity of the new coach. If I was giving up that kind of money I would certainly want a say on what happened.
4.  Since there is no blue ribbon search committee, the AD knows who the coach is going to be.
5.  If the new coach is not currently coaching an announcement should come sooner rather than later and negotiations are underway and have been underway for several weeks.  There is little to be gained by protecting the identity of the party.
6.  If the new coach is currently employed he probably has a team in the NCAA tourney.  Thus, the announcement would not come while his team is still playing.  He would not want to upset team chemistry while they are still playing.  The longer it takes to make an announcement the better the possibility that this is the case.
7.  One big advantage of having donors pay for Archie's severance is that it makes it possible for the university to buy out a contract for a coach who is currently under contract.   Paying both a severance and a buyout both would probably be prohibitive.
8.  After four unsuccessful tries since Knight was fired, the AD doesn't want to get it wrong yet again.  I'm not expecting another mid-major coach.  The AD is talking to someone with a proven winning track record.
 
I'm leaning toward someone that is in the Big Dance this year.  I won't believe anything that any coach says while their team is still competing.
Anyone that has picked up on any other clues please chime in.  I'm all ears.

Instead of taking wild guesses and wishful thinking, maybe the best approach to figuring out the new coach is to apply a bit of logic and maybe read a bit between the lines.  So let's look at a few of the facts.
1.  The decision to let Archie go was probably made before the last two or three games.  It takes so time to put the buyout together.  Archie's job was toast before we lost to Purdue and Rutgers.
2.  While the AD made the decision the odds are good that he may have been approached by alumni before the end of the season with an offer to help.  It seems more likely that the offer of money would have been made before the school started scouting around to find money.
3.  Whoever coughed up the money probably had input into the identity of the new coach. If I was giving up that kind of money I would certainly want a say on what happened.
4.  Since there is no blue ribbon search committee, the AD knows who the coach is going to be.
5.  If the new coach is not currently coaching an announcement should come sooner rather than later and negotiations are underway and have been underway for several weeks.  There is little to be gained by protecting the identity of the party.
6.  If the new coach is currently employed he probably has a team in the NCAA tourney.  Thus, the announcement would not come while his team is still playing.  He would not want to upset team chemistry while they are still playing.  The longer it takes to make an announcement the better the possibility that this is the case.
7.  One big advantage of having donors pay for Archie's severance is that it makes it possible for the university to buy out a contract for a coach who is currently under contract.   Paying both a severance and a buyout both would probably be prohibitive.
8.  After four unsuccessful tries since Knight was fired, the AD doesn't want to get it wrong yet again.  I'm not expecting another mid-major coach.  The AD is talking to someone with a proven winning track record.
 
I'm leaning toward someone that is in the Big Dance this year.  I won't believe anything that any coach says while their team is still competing.
Anyone that has picked up on any other clues please chime in.  I'm all ears.

Been there all year,  I've reached the spot where I expect to lose and calculate my score based on 75 points.  Then I give myself a 50 point bonus if I picked the winner.  Picking the winner is so much more important than picking the score and this team is so unpredictable, to me, that they are breaking my back.  I figure they owe me about 300 points.
 

Why give up now?  Might as well play out the streak one more time.
Hoosiers 75 - Other guys 70

Only 52 players in IU history have reached the 1k mark.  Al should end up in the top 50.
 

I think Al is nearing the 1000 point club.  I think he at 974 so he he has 26 to go.  Who would have thought that possible 4 years ago?  If I have the numbers wrong please correct.

Only 52 players in IU history have reached the 1k mark.  Al should end up in the top 50.
 

Only 52 players in IU history have reached the 1k mark.  Al should end up in the top 50.
 

Since three of our starters scored a total of 2 points, I'm glad Al showed up tonight.  Nice to see him looking for his shot.
 

I think Al is nearing the 1000 point club.  I think he at 974 so he he has 26 to go.  Who would have thought that possible 4 years ago?  If I have the numbers wrong please correct.

I think Al is nearing the 1000 point club.  I think he at 974 so he he has 26 to go.  Who would have thought that possible 4 years ago?  If I have the numbers wrong please correct.

I think Al is nearing the 1000 point club.  I think he at 974 so he he has 26 to go.  Who would have thought that possible 4 years ago?  If I have the numbers wrong please correct.

I think Al is nearing the 1000 point club.  I think he at 974 so he he has 26 to go.  Who would have thought that possible 4 years ago?  If I have the numbers wrong please correct.

I think Al is nearing the 1000 point club.  I think he at 974 so he he has 26 to go.  Who would have thought that possible 4 years ago?  If I have the numbers wrong please correct.

I've dropped back in the pack and I'm no longer in contention.  Drat all those close finishes that went the wrong way.  So I'm not going to strain the brain in a fruitless effort.  Time to pull up and gallop out to the finish and save some energy for next year.
I spent 18 years coaching Spartans, not the ones in Michigan, and have some sentimental attachment.  Never the less give me the Hoosiers again 75-70.

Usually people do not need to alter my posts to make me look crazy lol!
The Minny lose/win by lopsided scores thing is real:
Losses: Illinois by 27, Wisky by 12, Mich by 25, Iowa by 15, Mary by 14, Purdoo by 19, Rutg by 4, Mary by 13. Average Minny margin of B1G losses: 16.125 points Wins: Iowa by 7, MSU by 25, OSU by 17, Mich by 18, Nebr by 18, Purdoo by 3. Average Minny margin of B1G wins: 14.67 As a comparison, even with the OUS blowout, our average margin of loss is 8.857 (pre-OSU it was 7.17) and our average margin of B1G wins is 5.83.
 
 

Al Durham owes me 85 pts. If he misses at the end of the 1st OT, I would've been one point shy of a perfect score.

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What a game! Out of 28 Predictions 21 correctly predicted an IU Victory... 1 person even predicted O.T. (but not Double so no bonus points for you!)
Congrats to @ALASKA HOOSIER for showing us what happens when he makes legitimate picks... he correctly predicted IU's Final Score and was only 2 points away from the perfect prediction.
@Class of '66 Old Fart caught up but has not yet taken the Top Spot on the Leaderboard.
CURRENT GAME - Northwestern   OVERALL RANK Entry Name Score   RANK Entry Name Score 1 ALASKA HOOSIER 133   1 Bobman1 1701 2 HoosierCoop 123   2 Class of '66 Old Fart 1701 3 Stuhoo 120   3 Josh 1694 4 mamasa 117   4 johnsoniu 1670 5 craigyv88 117   5 Str8Hoosiers 1648 6 BottomLine 115   6 DChoosier 1644 7 cappymo14 114   7 Naturalhoosier 1633 8 Str8Hoosiers 113   8 LamarCheeks 1605 9 johnsoniu 113   9 MoyeNeeded 1579 10 Crazy about IU 112   10 Stuhoo 1577 11 Josh 111   11 BottomLine 1575 12 Naturalhoosier 109   12 LIHoosier 1569 13 Class of '66 Old Fart 109   13 HoosierAloha 1569 14 hper50 109   14 tkbbn 1564 15 tkbbn 108   15 cappymo14 1550 16 IUc2016 108   16 mamasa 1517 17 MoyeNeeded 106   17 HoosierCoop 1511 18 Bobman1 105   18 IUsafety 1487 19 incrediboy 101   19 Woodson1980 1449 20 DChoosier 100   20 IUc2016 1436 21 HoosierHoopster 100   21 WayneFleekHoosier 1419 22 WayneFleekHoosier 60   22 rcs29 1401 23 HoosierAloha 60   23 incrediboy 1385 24 muttcs66 55   24 muttcs66 1378 25 HoosierRobbie 53   25 CyberHoosier 1371 26 LamarCheeks 52   26 hper50 1261 27 LIHoosier 49   27 ALASKA HOOSIER 1247 28 rcs29 47   28 tomallenfan 1184 29 pumpfake 0   29 mdn82 1075 30 IUsafety 0   30 Feathery 975 31 Chris007 0   31 Crazy about IU 964 32 CyberHoosier 0   32 thebigweave 748 33 Woodson1980 0   33 HoosierRobbie 583 34 Loaded Chicken Sandwich 0   34 JaybobHoosier 552 35 Feathery 0   35 craigyv88 385 36 tomallenfan 0   36 Iufan_Charlie 291 37 mdn82 0   37 jbell833 288 38 thebigweave 0   38 Skrappy 227 39 JaybobHoosier 0   39 yogisballin 178 40 Iufan_Charlie 0   40 Loaded Chicken Sandwich 175 41 HoosierTrav 0   41 JHoosier914 121 42 theriverpilot 0   42 brumdog45 114 43 yogisballin 0   43 theriverpilot 111 44 jbell833 0   44 HoosierTrav 111 45 Skrappy 0   45 NRT137 105 46 Barrell Rick 0   46 HoosierHoopster 100 47 brumdog45 0   47 Chris007 70 48 JHoosier914 0   48 pumpfake 62 49 NRT137 0   49 Barrell Rick 0

Can IU catch lightening in a bottle twice in the same season?
Over/under for this game is 141.5 and Illinois is a 2 or 3 point favorite.  That makes the implied result somewhere around 72-69 Illinois.
I'm wondering if this is a classic bounce game for Illinois.  They just squeezed by Iowa and could be set for a let down against a team that they have already beaten.  While Indiana is only 4-4 at home this year, Illinois is only 3-3 on the road and certainly susceptible to the upset.
Meanwhile IU has had over a week to get ready and heal.  Just like before the Iowa game.  Turn one of the overtime losses around and both Illinois and Indiana would be looking at 10-6 records, instead of 10-6 and 9-7.
I'm looking for an Indiana upset in a game where Illinois might not be their sharpest.  I make it 76-71 Hoosiers.

Can IU catch lightening in a bottle twice in the same season?
Over/under for this game is 141.5 and Illinois is a 2 or 3 point favorite.  That makes the implied result somewhere around 72-69 Illinois.
I'm wondering if this is a classic bounce game for Illinois.  They just squeezed by Iowa and could be set for a let down against a team that they have already beaten.  While Indiana is only 4-4 at home this year, Illinois is only 3-3 on the road and certainly susceptible to the upset.
Meanwhile IU has had over a week to get ready and heal.  Just like before the Iowa game.  Turn one of the overtime losses around and both Illinois and Indiana would be looking at 10-6 records, instead of 10-6 and 9-7.
I'm looking for an Indiana upset in a game where Illinois might not be their sharpest.  I make it 76-71 Hoosiers.

This game has all the classic signs of a bounce game or a trap game.  IU just knocked off a top 10 team and enters a game where they are favored by a small margin.  How much of a let down will it take for Rutgers to slip by IU.  I'm thinking not a lot.  The difference between winning and losing and be so random.  IU plays a team that shoots lights out (Purdue) and we lose.  IU plays a high scoring team that can't throw a beach ball into the ocean and we win.  Live by the 3 - die by the 3.  Or, free throws.
Rutgers is desperate and in a bad losing streak but they have talent.  IU is a 4 or 5 point favorite in a low scoring game.  o/u in Vegas is 135.5.  Implied score would probable be 70-65.  I'm thinking that the o/u is too low.  I'll take the Hoosiers 77-70.

Al Durham.  Coming down the stretch, when IU was shooting under 50% from the line, he was automatic to clinch the win.