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Golfman25

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About Golfman25

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    Bench Mob

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  1. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Exponential growth is a function of the rate of growth. As the rate of growth slows, your exponential growth does as well. Our rate is slowing. Maybe it's testing related, maybe it's not. We'll have to see.
  2. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    You must be from Purdue. Your graph was sourced from John Hopkins data. Has nothing to do with their doctors.
  3. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    You keep posting crap about gross numbers. It's completely irrelevant when looking at this statistically. We have more people. You have to account for that. Even with your gross numbers after 20 some days in, we are still a few thousand below Italy.
  4. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    We dropped below a 20% growth rate in new cases today, to 18%. Down from 40% last week. That's call progress.
  5. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    You obviously missed this study which shows Italy has abnormally high death rates from the regular flu, but as Hoosierfan says, why let facts get int the way. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971219303285 We are not Italy.
  6. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    So it turns out Italy also has had extraordinary death rates from the regular flu. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971219303285
  7. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    We'll it looks like Trump beat you to it. Called out GM and Ford.
  8. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Unfortunately his analysis doesn't account for many factors. First, the more cases which are confirmed, the ultimate percentages of hospitalizations and deaths decline, so it is in error to apply today's "know" percentages to an assumed number. You won't know until you know. Regardless of how many are infected, the fact is that the vast majority of cases are resolved and don't result in hospitalization or death. Also, his exponential "math" doesn't account for a declining rate. Our rate of spread has declined from mid 40% to holding at 25% the past 4 days. Italy is current holding at 8%. As our mitigation efforts take effect, expect that rate to decline further. That's the key number to watch. I am NOT saying don't take it seriously. Take precautions -- stay home, wash hands, etc. However, I am saying be skeptical of claims of nationwide doom.
  9. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Seems the expert agrees with me about the scary predictions based on faulty models. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2020/03/26/dr_birx_coronavirus_data_doesnt_match_the_doomsday_media_predictions_or_analysis.html https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/489774-birx-cautions-against-inaccurate-models-predicting-signficant-coronavirus
  10. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Both NY gov and NYC mayor say the have enough supplies for the next week or two. You haven’t shown me who is not cooperating and doing everything possible which would necessitate use of the defense production act.
  11. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Show me who is refusing to ramp up production. https://news.3m.com/press-release/company-english/3m-partners-ford-help-further-accelerate-covid-19-response https://www.honeywell.com/en-us/newsroom/news/2020/03/n95-mask-and-the-coronavirus-more-production-underway https://www.marketwatch.com/story/soaring-demand-for-ventilators-creates-political-tension-promises-to-ramp-up-manufacturing-2020-03-25
  12. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    China lied about their numbers.
  13. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Those talking heads arguing about this act have no clue what it takes to tool up and manufacture something. And medical supplies are subject to FDA approval -- even with relaxing of the regulations, getting a facility and product FDA approved is a big job. You just can pull this stuff out of your butt. The best bet is to work with current manufacturers and increase capacity by going 24/7 or partnering with similar businesses, with similar equipment. The current manufacturers have the expertise and you can basically copy their processes instead of reinventing the wheel. Someone has to tell me who is not cooperating -- everything I read is that they are moving mountains to produce. The problem is there isn't enough manufacturing left in the country. We sold our souls to the devil that is global trade for cheap stuff and now we are paying a heavy price.
  14. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    Stay off of planes, trains and buses. Germ infested tubes of death.
  15. Golfman25

    Coronavirus and Its Impact

    As long as they don't get on a bus, train or plane, it won't spread like it has in NYC. The more space you have and the less public transportation, the better off you'll be.
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